When you look back, life seems to be all about getting the few high-impact, high-stakes events right and avoiding big blunders. Get those big, crucial moments right and avoid ruin, and everything else will sort itself out…but get them wrong or get caught unprepared…well…hindsight is 20/20 indeed.
This is true for individuals as much as groups, for companies and organizations as much as countries. But it is easier said than done. How to deal with deep uncertainty? How to make better decisions when faced with ‘unknown unknowns’? Avoid ruin when the stakes are high? Position yourself, your organization, your country such that you do not have to say “hindsight is 20/20”?
Welcome, I am Balkan Devlen, and this is Hindsight 20/20, my almost-weekly newsletter focused on two areas I have been thinking, researching, teaching, writing, and talking about for nearly two decades: Decision-making under uncertainty and International Affairs.
What would you get when you subscribe?
Carefully curated tools, frameworks, and insights on how to make better decisions under uncertainty.
Timely commentary, and analysis on international affairs that cuts through the noise and helps you to make better sense of an increasingly uncertain world.
Occassional podcasts where I elaborate more on select topics, sometimes with a guest.
Delivered to your inbox 3 to 4 times a month.
The first email is going out on July 15, so go ahead and subscribe below. Meanwhile check out my website and Twitter to know more about me and what I do.