Welcome to Hindsight 20/20

I am Balkan Devlen and this is where I explore how we can turn hindsight into foresight.

I was a Superforecaster in IARPA-sponsored geopolitical forecasting competition Good Judgment Project. I continue to consult for Good Judgment, Inc. as a Superforecaster. I am also Senior Fellow at Macdonald-Laurier Institute in Ottawa, Canada.

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  • Carefully curated tools, frameworks, and insights on how to make better decisions under uncertainty.

  • Timely analyses on international affairs and geopolitics that cut through the noise and helps you to make better sense of an increasingly uncertain world.

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Subscribe to Hindsight 20/20

Turning hindsight into foresight. Mostly on geopolitics, forecasting, and AI.

People

I think, teach, speak, and write about the future (foreign policy, great power politics, and x-risks) and the best ways of thinking about the future (anticipation, forecasting, and strategic foresight). For more visit https://www.balkandevlen.com